Premier League · 25/26

West Ham v Liverpool

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

West Ham0 – 2 Liverpool 30 Nov 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Alexander Isak	shots total	1+	97%	3	✓
Cody Gakpo	shots total	1+	96%	2	✓
Hugo Ekitiké	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Callum Wilson	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Jarrod Bowen	shots total	1+	88%	3	✓
Alexis Mac Allister	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Dominik Szoboszlai	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Lucas Paquetá	fouls drawn	1+	86%	2	✓
Luís Guilherme	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Florian Wirtz	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Alexis Mac Allister	fouls drawn	1+	73%	1	✓
Callum Wilson	fouls drawn	1+	73%	1	✓
Freddie Potts	fouls drawn	1+	73%	2	✓
Jarrod Bowen	fouls drawn	1+	73%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	60%	2 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	54%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	25%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

West Ham & Liverpool player stats→ West Ham players & stats→ Liverpool players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works