Premier League · 25/26

West Ham v Man Utd

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

West Ham1 – 1 Man Utd 10 Feb 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Matheus Cunha	shots total	1+	100%	0	✗
Benjamin Šeško	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Bruno Fernandes	shots total	1+	96%	0	✗
Valentín Castellanos	shots total	1+	96%	0	✗
Bryan Mbeumo	shots total	1+	96%	2	✓
Amad Diallo	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Callum Wilson	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Crysencio Summerville	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Jarrod Bowen	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Casemiro	shots total	1+	88%	0	✗
Crysencio Summerville	fouls drawn	1+	85%	1	✓
Matheus Cunha	fouls drawn	1+	84%	0	✗
Amad Diallo	fouls drawn	1+	73%	1	✓
Jarrod Bowen	fouls drawn	1+	73%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	54%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	53%	2 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	19%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

West Ham & Man Utd player stats→ West Ham players & stats→ Man Utd players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works