Premier League · 25/26

Wolves v Aston Villa

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Wolves2 – 0 Aston Villa 27 Feb 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Ross Barkley	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Ollie Watkins	shots total	1+	93%	1	✓
Morgan Rogers	shots total	1+	93%	4	✓
Emiliano Buendía	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Tammy Abraham	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Leon Bailey	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Mateus Mané	shots total	1+	88%	2	✓
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde	fouls drawn	1+	86%	3	✓
João Gomes	fouls committed	1+	86%	2	✓
Mateus Mané	fouls drawn	1+	84%	5	✓
Emiliano Buendía	fouls drawn	1+	84%	3	✓
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde	fouls committed	1+	80%	1	✓
André	fouls committed	1+	79%	1	✓
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde	shots total	1+	78%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	44%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	43%	2 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	29%	6 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Wolves & Aston Villa player stats→ Wolves players & stats→ Aston Villa players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works