Premier League · 23/24

Wolves v Luton

How the SharpXI model rated this Premier League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Wolves2 – 1 Luton 27 Apr 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Matheus Cunha	shots total	1+	100%	1	✓
Tahith Chong	fouls drawn	1+	100%	3	✓
Cauley Woodrow	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Hwang Hee-chan	shots total	1+	93%	3	✓
Ross Barkley	shots total	1+	88%	1	✓
Carlton Morris	shots total	1+	88%	4	✓
Rayan Aït-Nouri	fouls drawn	1+	85%	2	✓
Albert Sambi Lokonga	fouls drawn	1+	84%	3	✓
Matheus Cunha	fouls drawn	1+	84%	1	✓
Mario Lemina	shots total	1+	83%	2	✓
Boubacar Traoré	shots total	1+	83%	3	✓
João Gomes	fouls committed	1+	82%	2	✓
Matheus Cunha	shots on target	1+	80%	0	✗
Boubacar Traoré	fouls committed	1+	79%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	53%	3 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	53%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	34%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Wolves & Luton player stats→ Wolves players & stats→ Luton players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Luton 1–1 Wolves Sep 2023

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works