What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Armel Bella-Kotchap has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
Armel Bella-Kotchap has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Serie A 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Armel Bella-KotchapVeneziaSerie A | 19 | 0.20 | 1.46 |
| Olivier BoscagliBrighton & Hove Albion | 12 | 0.11 | 0.77 |
| Ibrahima KonatéLiverpool FC | 36 | 0.35 | 0.96 |
| Ayden HeavenManchester United | 17 | 0.29 | 0.67 |
| William SalibaArsenal | 31 | 0.17 | 0.76 |
| Harry MaguireManchester United | 23 | 0.76 | 0.86 |
| These 5, combined | 0.34 | 0.84 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Armel Bella-Kotchap featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves15 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Liverpool8 Mar | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea25 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Brighton22 Feb | 78 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest8 May | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Newcastle30 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Arsenal21 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace15 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Man City8 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Tottenham18 Mar | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Armel Bella-Kotchap have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Armel Bella-Kotchap has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Armel Bella-Kotchap average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Armel Bella-Kotchap is averaging 0.12 shots on target and 0.49 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Armel Bella-Kotchap get booked?
Armel Bella-Kotchap is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Armel Bella-Kotchap commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Armel Bella-Kotchap commits 0.49 fouls per 90 and wins 0.98 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Armel Bella-Kotchap?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Armel Bella-Kotchap plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.