What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Duje Ćaleta-Car has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
Duje Ćaleta-Car has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Nations League 24/25 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duje Ćaleta-CarSassuoloUEFA Nations League | 7 | 0.73 | 1.32 |
| Joško GvardiolManchester City | 18 | 1.11 | 1.05 |
| Omar AldereteSunderland | 33 | 0.77 | 1.09 |
| Jaka BijolLeeds United | 25 | 0.71 | 0.89 |
| Nathan CollinsBrentford | 35 | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| Micky van de VenTottenham Hotspur | 35 | 0.47 | 0.83 |
| These 5, combined | 0.68 | 0.87 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Duje Ćaleta-Car featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth27 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Arsenal21 Apr | 50 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ West Ham2 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Aston Villa21 Jan | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Everton14 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest4 Jan | 56 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Liverpool12 Nov | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Newcastle6 Nov | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Crystal Palace29 Oct | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arsenal23 Oct | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Duje Ćaleta-Car have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Duje Ćaleta-Car has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Duje Ćaleta-Car average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Duje Ćaleta-Car is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 0.38 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Duje Ćaleta-Car get booked?
Duje Ćaleta-Car is averaging 0.25 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Duje Ćaleta-Car commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Duje Ćaleta-Car commits 0.88 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Duje Ćaleta-Car?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Duje Ćaleta-Car plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.