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Premier League 23/24
LU

Luke Berry

Midfielder LutonPremier League 23/24

Also in: Championship

Last games
max 17 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League midfielder, 25/26, 4,546 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.22 per 90
40%
4 of 101.5×
Total shots2.14 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
Fouls won1.84 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Fouls committed1.22 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles1.53 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.61 per 90
20%
2 of 102.2×
form only
Assists0.31 per 90
10%
1 of 101.2×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Luke Berry has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Luke Berry featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ West Ham11 May 10 0 0 1 0 0 0
Everton3 May 11 1 2 0 0 0 0
@ Wolves27 Apr 24 1 1 0 1 1 0
Brentford20 Apr 45 1 1 2 0 1 0
@ Man City13 Apr 77 0 0 0 1 1 0
Bournemouth6 Apr 28 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ Arsenal3 Apr 9 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Tottenham30 Mar 63 0 1 0 2 1 0
Nottingham Forest16 Mar 14 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ Bournemouth13 Mar 13 0 0 1 1 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Luke Berry have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Luke Berry has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Luke Berry average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Luke Berry is averaging 1.22 shots on target and 2.14 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Luke Berry get booked?

Luke Berry is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Luke Berry commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Luke Berry commits 1.22 fouls per 90 and wins 1.84 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luke Berry?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luke Berry plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.