Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Premier League 22/23
TH

Theo Walcott

Striker 38% of 13 recent starts SouthamptonPremier League 22/23

Last games
max 20 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.40 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
Total shots1.35 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
Fouls won0.67 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
Fouls committed0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
Tackles0.81 per 90
40%
4 of 101.2×
11%
1 of 91.9×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
form only
Assists0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 102.1×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Theo Walcott has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Theo Walcott featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Liverpool28 May 77 0 1 0 2 1 0
@ Brighton21 May 90 0 1 0 0 2 0
Fulham13 May 62 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ Nottingham Forest8 May 61 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ Newcastle30 Apr 26 0 0 0 0 0 0
Bournemouth27 Apr 61 1 3 0 1 0 0
@ Arsenal21 Apr 77 2 2 0 0 1 0
Crystal Palace15 Apr 62 0 1 0 1 0 0
Man City8 Apr 80 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ West Ham2 Apr 72 0 1 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Robert Jones 3 games Theo Walcott booked in 1 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Premier League official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Theo Walcott have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Theo Walcott has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Theo Walcott average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Theo Walcott is averaging 0.40 shots on target and 1.35 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Theo Walcott get booked?

Theo Walcott is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Theo Walcott commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Theo Walcott commits 0.13 fouls per 90 and wins 0.67 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Theo Walcott?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Theo Walcott plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.