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Premier League 23/24
TO

Tom Lockyer

Centre-back 100% of 14 recent starts LutonPremier League 23/24

Also in: Championship

Last games
max 14 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
Total shots0.67 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
Fouls won0.55 per 90
40%
4 of 101.1×
Fouls committed1.33 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.8×
Tackles2.00 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.3×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.33 per 90
30%
3 of 102.0×
Goals0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 102.8×
form only
Assists0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 103.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Tom Lockyer has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Tom Lockyer featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Man City10 Dec 89 0 0 2 0 6 0
@ Brentford2 Dec 45 0 0 1 1 2 0
Crystal Palace25 Nov 90 0 2 2 2 2 1
@ Man Utd11 Nov 90 0 0 1 0 1 1
Liverpool5 Nov 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Aston Villa29 Oct 90 0 0 1 0 2 0
@ Nottingham Forest21 Oct 90 0 0 2 1 0 0
Tottenham7 Oct 81 0 0 2 0 2 1
Burnley3 Oct 90 0 2 1 1 2 0
@ Everton30 Sep 56 1 2 0 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Tom Lockyer have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Tom Lockyer has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Tom Lockyer average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Tom Lockyer is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.67 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Tom Lockyer get booked?

Tom Lockyer is averaging 0.33 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Tom Lockyer commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Tom Lockyer commits 1.33 fouls per 90 and wins 0.55 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tom Lockyer?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tom Lockyer plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.