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Primeira Liga 25/26
CR

Cristian Castro

Defender AVS - Futebol SADPrimeira Liga 25/26

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga defender, 25/26, 3,218 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Total shots0.23 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
Fouls won0.35 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Fouls committed0.94 per 90
70%
7 of 101.2×
Tackles0.70 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.23 per 90
20%
2 of 101.0×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 304 selections across 78 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Cristian Castro has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Cristian Castro featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Moreirense16 May 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
FC Porto10 May 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ CD Nacional2 May 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
Sporting CP26 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Rio Ave17 Apr 90 0 0 1 1 2 0
Vitória SC11 Apr 90 0 1 1 0 0 1
@ Benfica21 Feb 45 0 0 1 0 0 0
Estoril Praia15 Feb 90 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ Famalicão9 Feb 90 0 0 2 1 0 0
FC Arouca17 Jan 5 0 0 1 0 1 1
Officials on record
Bruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa 5 games Cristian Castro booked in 2 4.10cards/game 0.79×vs league
Pedro Ramalho 5 games Cristian Castro booked in 2 6.00cards/game 1.16×vs league
Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo 4 games Cristian Castro never booked 5.60cards/game 1.08×vs league
Miguel Nogueira 4 games Cristian Castro never booked 4.47cards/game 0.86×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Cristian Castro have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Cristian Castro has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Cristian Castro average?

Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Cristian Castro is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.23 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Cristian Castro get booked?

Cristian Castro is averaging 0.23 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Cristian Castro commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Cristian Castro commits 0.94 fouls per 90 and wins 0.35 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Cristian Castro?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Cristian Castro plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.