What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances
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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Francisco Conceição has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable attacking midfielders
Francisco Conceição has no Primeira Liga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Champions League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Primeira Liga attacking midfielders by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco ConceiçãoJuventusUEFA Champions League | 9 | 3.06 | 1.26 |
| Rodrigo ZalazarSporting CP | 28 | 3.15 | 0.79 |
| Rafa SilvaBenfica | 16 | 2.40 | 0.38 |
| Rony LopesTondela | 16 | 3.09 | 1.12 |
| Ricardo HortaSporting Braga | 28 | 2.55 | 1.05 |
| Jovane CabralCF Estrela Amadora | 27 | 2.95 | 2.30 |
| These 5, combined | 2.84 | 1.18 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Francisco Conceição featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Sporting Braga18 May | 77 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Boavista12 May | 90 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Chaves4 May | 83 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Sporting CP28 Apr | 80 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Casa Pia21 Apr | 86 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Famalicão13 Apr | 90 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Vitória SC7 Apr | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| @ Estoril Praia30 Mar | 89 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Vizela16 Mar | 90 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Portimonense8 Mar | 90 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Francisco Conceição have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Francisco Conceição has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Francisco Conceição average?
Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Francisco Conceição is averaging 1.25 shots on target and 3.75 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Francisco Conceição get booked?
Francisco Conceição is averaging 0.31 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Francisco Conceição commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Francisco Conceição commits 1.14 fouls per 90 and wins 2.08 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Francisco Conceição?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Francisco Conceição plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.