Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Primeira Liga 24/25
MA

Madson de Souza Silva

Forward MoreirensePrimeira Liga 24/25

Next match
Moreirense at Estoril Praia›
Sun 25 Oct
Last games
max 44 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.95 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
Total shots2.38 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
Fouls won3.33 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.6×
Fouls committed1.11 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Tackles1.11 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 304 selections across 78 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Madson de Souza Silva has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Madson de Souza Silva featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ FC Arouca24 Jan 74 0 1 0 3 1 0
SC Farense19 Jan 67 0 1 2 2 2 0
AVS - Futebol SAD4 Jan 28 2 4 0 2 0 0
@ Estoril Praia28 Dec 45 0 0 2 4 1 0
FC Porto21 Dec 27 0 0 1 0 0 1
@ CD Nacional14 Dec 63 0 1 0 1 3 0
Sporting CP5 Dec 65 1 2 0 4 0 0
@ Rio Ave30 Nov 58 0 0 0 1 0 0
Gil Vicente8 Nov 56 3 3 0 3 0 0
@ Vitória SC3 Nov 84 0 3 2 1 0 0
Officials on record
Carlos Macedo 3 games Madson de Souza Silva booked in 1 4.14cards/game 0.80×vs league
Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo 3 games Madson de Souza Silva booked in 1 5.60cards/game 1.08×vs league
Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso 3 games Madson de Souza Silva never booked 5.35cards/game 1.03×vs league
Antonio Nobre 3 games Madson de Souza Silva never booked 5.58cards/game 1.08×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Madson de Souza Silva have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Madson de Souza Silva has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Madson de Souza Silva average?

Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Madson de Souza Silva is averaging 0.95 shots on target and 2.38 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Madson de Souza Silva get booked?

Madson de Souza Silva is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Madson de Souza Silva commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Madson de Souza Silva commits 1.11 fouls per 90 and wins 3.33 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Madson de Souza Silva?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Madson de Souza Silva plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.