Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Primeira Liga 25/26
NE

Nenê

Forward AVS - Futebol SADPrimeira Liga 25/26

Last games
max 43 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target2.98 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
Total shots6.56 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
Fouls won1.19 per 90
20%
2 of 100.3×
Fouls committed2.98 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Tackles1.79 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals1.19 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
form only
Assists0.60 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Nenê has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nenê featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Sporting CP26 Apr 16 0 2 1 0 0 0
@ Rio Ave17 Apr 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Gil Vicente3 Apr 8 1 1 1 0 0 0
@ Tondela21 Mar 12 1 1 1 1 0 0
CF Estrela Amadora28 Feb 17 0 0 0 0 0 0
Estoril Praia15 Feb 13 0 2 1 0 1 0
@ Famalicão9 Feb 20 0 0 1 0 1 0
Sporting Braga2 Feb 24 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Casa Pia23 Jan 22 3 3 0 1 0 0
FC Arouca17 Jan 18 0 1 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Bruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa 4 games Nenê never booked 4.10cards/game 0.79×vs league
Pedro Ramalho 4 games Nenê never booked 6.00cards/game 1.16×vs league
Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe 3 games Nenê booked in 1
Miguel Nogueira 3 games Nenê booked in 1 4.47cards/game 0.86×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Nenê have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Nenê has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Nenê average?

Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Nenê is averaging 2.98 shots on target and 6.56 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nenê get booked?

Nenê is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nenê commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Nenê commits 2.98 fouls per 90 and wins 1.19 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nenê?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nenê plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.