Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Primeira Liga 26/27
PE

Pepê

Forward FC PortoPrimeira Liga 26/27

Next match
FC Porto at Gil Vicente›
Sat 24 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
Total shots1.63 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
Fouls won1.20 per 90
70%
7 of 101.2×
Fouls committed0.76 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Tackles0.87 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.44 per 90
40%
4 of 105.7×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 298 selections across 77 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

In 26/27, Pepê has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of 8 Primeira Liga appearances (2 of 8), 1+ total shot in 75%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 75%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Pepê featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Marítimo10 Oct 79 0 2 3 2 3 1
Benfica20 Sep 85 1 2 1 0 2 0
@ Casa Pia12 Sep 90 0 0 1 2 1 0
Moreirense4 Sep 90 1 1 0 3 0 0
@ Académico Viseu FC29 Aug 60 0 0 0 1 0 0
FC Arouca23 Aug 90 0 6 1 1 0 0
@ Rio Ave15 Aug 89 0 1 0 0 0 0
FC Alverca9 Aug 90 0 1 0 1 2 0
@ AVS - Futebol SAD10 May 68 0 0 0 0 0 0
FC Alverca2 May 86 0 2 1 1 0 0
Officials on record
Joao Pedro Pinheiro 15 games Pepê booked in 2 4.89cards/game 0.95×vs league
Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo 13 games Pepê booked in 1 5.60cards/game 1.08×vs league
Luís Godinho 11 games Pepê never booked 5.39cards/game 1.04×vs league
Antonio Nobre 10 games Pepê booked in 1 5.58cards/game 1.08×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Pepê have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Pepê has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% of 8 Primeira Liga appearances (2 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Pepê average?

Across 8 Primeira Liga appearances in 26/27, Pepê is averaging 0.27 shots on target and 1.74 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Pepê get booked?

Pepê is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Pepê commit or win more fouls?

This season Pepê commits 0.80 fouls per 90 and wins 1.34 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Pepê?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Pepê plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.