What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga forward, 25/26, 2,890 appearances
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Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Samuel Essende has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Samuel Essende featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Moreirense3 May | 90 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Rio Ave27 Apr | 90 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sporting Braga20 Apr | 90 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Chaves15 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Famalicão6 Apr | 89 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Casa Pia31 Mar | 90 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Porto16 Mar | 79 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| SC Farense9 Mar | 90 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Portimonense3 Mar | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Estoril Praia25 Feb | 90 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Primeira Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Primeira Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Samuel Essende have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Samuel Essende has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Samuel Essende average?
Across the last 10 Primeira Liga games, Samuel Essende is averaging 1.52 shots on target and 2.74 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Samuel Essende get booked?
Samuel Essende is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Samuel Essende commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Samuel Essende commits 1.72 fouls per 90 and wins 1.42 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Samuel Essende?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Samuel Essende plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.