Samuel Essende
Striker 100% of 23 recent starts FC AugsburgBundesliga 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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In 25/26, Samuel Essende has hit 1+ shot on target in 21% of 14 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 14), 1+ total shot in 64%, 1+ foul committed in 64%, 1+ foul won in 57%, and been booked in 14% (2 of 14). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Samuel Essende in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 48 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel EssendeFC Augsburg | 14 | 3.63 | 3.63 |
| Mikkel Kaufmann1. FC Heidenheim | 16 | 1.81 | 2.31 |
| Conrad HarderRC Strasbourg | 29 | 4.11 | 2.06 |
| Keke ToppSV Werder Bremen | 20 | 3.41 | 2.19 |
| Fábio SilvaBorussia Dortmund | 28 | 2.50 | 2.07 |
| Ermedin DemirovićVfB Stuttgart | 25 | 2.45 | 2.21 |
| These 5, combined | 2.87 | 2.16 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Samuel Essende featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli31 Jan | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Bayern München24 Jan | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin15 Jan | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Borussia M'gladbach11 Jan | 45 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Eintracht Frankfurt13 Dec | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen6 Dec | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ TSG Hoffenheim29 Nov | 90 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Hamburger SV22 Nov | 26 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ VfB Stuttgart9 Nov | 28 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Borussia Dortmund31 Oct | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Samuel Essende have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Samuel Essende has hit 1+ shot on target in 21% of 14 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 14). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Samuel Essende average?
Across 14 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Samuel Essende is averaging 0.85 shots on target and 3.63 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Samuel Essende get booked?
Samuel Essende is averaging 0.43 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Samuel Essende commit or win more fouls?
This season Samuel Essende commits 3.63 fouls per 90 and wins 2.99 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Samuel Essende?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Samuel Essende plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.