What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 8 games
Compared with a Primeira Liga defender, 25/26, 3,218 appearances
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Over the last 8 Primeira Liga games, Thiago Silva has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% (2 of 8), 1+ total shot in 38%, 1+ foul committed in 12%, 1+ foul won in 38%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Thiago Silva in Primeira Liga, 25/26 — drawn from 13 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago SilvaFC Porto | 8 | 0.47 | 0.31 |
| José FonteCasa Pia | 18 | 0.56 | 0.88 |
| Zeno DebastSporting CP | 17 | 0.61 | 1.06 |
| Tomás AraújoBenfica | 23 | 0.91 | 0.48 |
| Jakub KiwiorFC Porto | 26 | 0.65 | 1.14 |
| Gonçalo InácioSporting CP | 29 | 0.40 | 0.75 |
| These 5, combined | 0.61 | 0.86 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 8 games Thiago Silva featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ AVS - Futebol SAD10 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ CF Estrela Amadora26 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Tondela19 Apr | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ CD Nacional15 Feb | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sporting CP9 Feb | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Casa Pia2 Feb | 71 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gil Vicente26 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Vitória SC18 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Thiago Silva have a shot on target?
Over the last 8 Primeira Liga games, Thiago Silva has hit 1+ shot on target in 25% (2 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Thiago Silva average?
Across the last 8 Primeira Liga games, Thiago Silva is averaging 0.31 shots on target and 0.47 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Thiago Silva get booked?
Thiago Silva is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 8 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Thiago Silva commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 8 games Thiago Silva commits 0.31 fouls per 90 and wins 0.62 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Thiago Silva?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Thiago Silva plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.