Manuel Oliveira
Manuel Oliveira has not taken charge of a Primeira Liga match in 26/27. The figures below are a career record. Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games Manuel Oliveira has officiated, the average is 4.00 cards a match — 23% below the league average of 5.17. That splits 3.7 yellow and 0.3 red a game — a red in 3 of the 10. The home side sees more cards — 1.7 to 2.3 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.2 gap. 5+ cards landed in 30% of those games (3 of 10), from a 16.1% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Manuel Oliveira turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Primeira Liga season on record.
| Measure | Oliveira | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.71 | 5.17 |
| vs league | 1.10× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 21.0% | 19.0% |
| Fouls / match | 27.3 | 27.2 |
| Red cards shown | 12 | — |
| Matches on record | 28 (0 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Primeira Liga games Manuel Oliveira took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP v Chaves18 May | 3–0 | 4 1 red | 3 | 1 | 20 |
| Estoril Praia v Famalicão28 Apr | 1–0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25 |
| Casa Pia v FC Porto21 Apr | 1–2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 31 |
| Gil Vicente v Sporting CP12 Apr | 0–4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25 |
| Casa Pia v Gil Vicente3 Mar | 0–0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 19 |
| Boavista v FC Porto5 Jan | 1–1 | 7 1 red | 6 | 1 | 32 |
| FC Arouca v Gil Vicente16 Dec | 3–0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 |
| SC Farense v Vitória SC2 Dec | 1–2 | 6 1 red | 5 | 1 | 24 |
● a red card in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Manuel Oliveira give per game?
Manuel Oliveira averages 5.71 cards a game across 28 Primeira Liga matches — 10% above the league average of 5.17. On a Manuel Oliveira appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 1.10.
Is Manuel Oliveira a strict referee?
Yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Manuel Oliveira runs at 21.0% against a league average of 19.0%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Manuel Oliveira's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Manuel Oliveira's card rate?
It rests on 28 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.