Scottish Premiership 25/26

Dundee FC v Dundee United

How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.

Dundee FC2 – 2 Dundee United 15 Mar 2026

9~~/14~~

of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Dundee FC drew with Dundee United 2–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 9 landed — the strongest being Simon Murray for 1+ shots total (94%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Yan Dhanda for 1+ shots total (89%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials

Duncan Nicolson refereed this match 4.25cards a gameleague 4.02 16games

Duncan Nicolson's card record

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Amar Fatah	shots total	1+	94%	6	✓
Max Watters	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Simon Murray	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Ashley Hay	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Neil Farrugia	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Yan Dhanda	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Ethan Hamilton	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Joe Westley	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Cameron Congreve	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Emmanuel Agyei	shots total	1+	82%	2	✓
Panutche Camará	shots total	1+	82%	0	✗
Joel Cotterill	shots total	1+	72%	0	✗
Tony Yogane	shots total	1+	72%	1	✓
Krisztián Keresztes	shots total	1+	69%	0	✗

How these are modelled: Shots total

Dig deeper

Dundee FC & Dundee United player stats→ Dundee FC players & stats→ Dundee United players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Dundee FC v Dundee United?

9 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Dundee FC v Dundee United?

The most confident call it got wrong was Yan Dhanda at 89% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works