Dundee United v Rangers
How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Dundee United drew with Rangers 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 14 landed — the strongest being Lawrence Shankland for 1+ shots total (96%, had 3). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Shankland | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 3 | ✓ |
| Youssef Chermiti | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 3 | ✓ |
| Thelo Aasgaard | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 4 | ✓ |
| Ryan Don Naderi | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Djeidi Gassama | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Youssef Chermiti | shots on target | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lawrence Shankland | shots on target | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Zachary Sapsford | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mohammed Diomande | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Emmanuel Fernandez | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 1 | ✓ |
| Thelo Aasgaard | shots on target | 1+ | 67% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ryan Don Naderi | shots on target | 1+ | 67% | 1 | ✓ |
| Emmanuel Agyei | shots total | 1+ | 62% | 3 | ✓ |
| Cameron Devlin | shots total | 1+ | 62% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Rangers 4–2 Dundee United Apr 2026
- Dundee United 2–2 Rangers Dec 2025
- Rangers 2–2 Dundee United Oct 2025
- Rangers 3–1 Dundee United May 2025
- Dundee United 1–3 Rangers Jan 2025
- Rangers 1–1 Dundee United Nov 2024
- Dundee United 0–1 Rangers Sep 2024
- Rangers 2–0 Dundee United Apr 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Dundee United v Rangers?
14 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Dundee United v Rangers?
Every one of its confident calls landed this time — a single strong game, not a verdict. When the model does miss, those rows sit in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross; we never hide them.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.