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Scottish Premiership 25/26

Rangers v Dundee United

How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.

Rangers4 – 2 Dundee United 4 Apr 2026
13/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Rangers beat Dundee United 4–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 13 landed — the strongest being Mikey Moore for 1+ shots total (96%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Tochi Chukwuani for 1+ shots total (78%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
John Beaton refereed this match 4.15cards a gameleague 4.02 74games
John Beaton's card record
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Mikey Moore shots total 1+ 96% 1 ✓
Youssef Chermiti shots total 1+ 96% 6 ✓
Ryan Don Naderi shots total 1+ 94% 3 ✓
Djeidi Gassama shots total 1+ 94% 2 ✓
Thelo Aasgaard shots total 1+ 89% 4 ✓
Andreas Skov Olsen shots total 1+ 89% 1 ✓
Nicolas Raskin shots total 1+ 82% 1 ✓
Max Watters shots total 1+ 82% 3 ✓
Zachary Sapsford shots total 1+ 82% 1 ✓
Amar Fatah shots total 1+ 82% 2 ✓
Tochi Chukwuani shots total 1+ 78% 0 ✗
Youssef Chermiti shots on target 1+ 73% 3 ✓
Mikey Moore shots on target 1+ 67% 1 ✓
Ryan Don Naderi shots on target 1+ 63% 1 ✓

How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target

Dig deeper

Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Rangers v Dundee United?

13 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Rangers v Dundee United?

The most confident call it got wrong was Tochi Chukwuani at 78% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.