Rangers v Falkirk FC
How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Rangers drew with Falkirk FC 0–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 7 landed — the strongest being Djeidi Gassama for 1+ shots total (94%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Danilo Pereira for 1+ shots on target (89%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djeidi Gassama | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Danilo Pereira | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Danilo Pereira | shots on target | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Thelo Aasgaard | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Oliver Antman | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Nedim Bajrami | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Nicolas Raskin | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Bojan Miovski | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 2 | ✓ |
| Brian Graham | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Calvin Miller | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| James Tavernier | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyrell Wilson | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Oliver Antman | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
| Scott Arfield | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Falkirk FC 1–2 Rangers Sep 2026
- Falkirk FC 2–5 Rangers May 2026
- Falkirk FC 3–6 Rangers Apr 2026
- Falkirk FC 1–1 Rangers Oct 2025
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Rangers v Falkirk FC?
7 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Rangers v Falkirk FC?
The most confident call it got wrong was Danilo Pereira at 89% for shots on target — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.