Ross County v Dundee United
How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Ross County lost to Dundee United 0–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 8 landed — the strongest being Kristijan Trapanovski for 1+ shots total (96%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Ronan Hale for 1+ shots total (96%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristijan Trapanovski | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 2 | ✓ |
| Louis Moult | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ronan Hale | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 0 | ✗ |
| Sam Dalby | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Kieran Phillips | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Alex Samuel | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jack Grieves | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Glenn Middleton | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ronan Hale | shots on target | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Noah Chilvers | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ross Docherty | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 2 | ✓ |
| Louis Moult | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 1 | ✓ |
| Connor Randall | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 0 | ✗ |
| Vicko Ševelj | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Dundee United 3–0 Ross County Nov 2024
- Ross County 1–1 Dundee United Aug 2024
- Dundee United 1–3 Ross County May 2023
- Ross County 4–0 Dundee United Feb 2023
- Dundee United 3–0 Ross County Dec 2022
- Ross County 1–1 Dundee United Oct 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Ross County v Dundee United?
8 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Ross County v Dundee United?
The most confident call it got wrong was Ronan Hale at 96% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.