Ross County v St. Johnstone
How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Ross County drew with St. Johnstone 3–3, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 7 landed — the strongest being Nicky Clark for 1+ shots total (94%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Makenzie Kirk for 1+ shots total (94%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
12 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicky Clark | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Makenzie Kirk | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ronan Hale | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Jordan White | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Graham Carey | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Noah Chilvers | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 3 | ✓ |
| Matt Smith | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Joshua Nisbet | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 0 | ✗ |
| Drey Wright | shots total | 1+ | 69% | 2 | ✓ |
| Makenzie Kirk | shots on target | 1+ | 67% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ronan Hale | shots on target | 1+ | 67% | 1 | ✓ |
| Connor Randall | shots total | 1+ | 62% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sven Sprangler | shots total | 1+ | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
| David Keltjens | shots total | 1+ | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- St. Johnstone 2–1 Ross County May 2025
- St. Johnstone 1–0 Ross County Feb 2025
- St. Johnstone 3–0 Ross County Oct 2024
- St. Johnstone 1–1 Ross County May 2024
- Ross County 0–1 St. Johnstone Feb 2024
- St. Johnstone 1–0 Ross County Nov 2023
- Ross County 2–0 St. Johnstone Aug 2023
- Ross County 3–3 St. Johnstone May 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Ross County v St. Johnstone?
7 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Ross County v St. Johnstone?
The most confident call it got wrong was Makenzie Kirk at 94% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.