St. Johnstone v Ross County
How the SharpXI model rated this Scottish Premiership fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before St. Johnstone beat Ross County 2–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Adama Sidibeh for 1+ shots total (96%, had 5). Its clearest miss: Taylor Steven for 1+ shots total (94%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh McPake | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 1 | ✓ |
| Uche Ikpeazu | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 3 | ✓ |
| Adama Sidibeh | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 5 | ✓ |
| Ronan Hale | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 1 | ✓ |
| Taylor Steven | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Alex Samuel | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jordan White | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ronan Hale | shots on target | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Kieran Phillips | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Uche Ikpeazu | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
| Elliot Watt | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 3 | ✓ |
| Josh McPake | shots on target | 1+ | 63% | 1 | ✓ |
| Adama Sidibeh | shots on target | 1+ | 63% | 1 | ✓ |
| Joshua Nisbet | shots total | 1+ | 62% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- St. Johnstone 1–0 Ross County Feb 2025
- St. Johnstone 3–0 Ross County Oct 2024
- Ross County 3–3 St. Johnstone Sep 2024
- St. Johnstone 1–1 Ross County May 2024
- Ross County 0–1 St. Johnstone Feb 2024
- St. Johnstone 1–0 Ross County Nov 2023
- Ross County 2–0 St. Johnstone Aug 2023
- Ross County 3–3 St. Johnstone May 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on St. Johnstone v Ross County?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on St. Johnstone v Ross County?
The most confident call it got wrong was Taylor Steven at 94% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Scottish Premiership?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.