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Scottish Premiership 26/27
GR

Greg Kiltie

Forward KilmarnockScottish Premiership 26/27

Next match
Kilmarnock vs Motherwell›
Sat 17 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Scottish Premiership forward, 25/26, 1,979 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.72 per 90
40%
4 of 101.1×
1.73bet365Edge
Total shots1.54 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
1.11bet365Edge
Fouls won2.87 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 102.0×
Fouls committed0.82 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
Tackles1.23 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 102.0×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 101.0×
3.20bet365Edge
Goals0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
form only
Assists0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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In 26/27, Greg Kiltie has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Scottish Premiership appearances (4 of 8), 1+ total shot in 88%, 1+ foul committed in 75%, 1+ foul won in 100%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Greg Kiltie featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Rangers10 Oct 79 0 1 2 2 1 0
Heart of Midlothian19 Sep 90 0 1 1 2 1 0
@ Hibernian15 Sep 90 2 3 0 2 0 0
@ Aberdeen5 Sep 84 2 3 0 3 2 0
St. Mirren2 Sep 90 0 0 1 5 1 1
Dundee United29 Aug 90 0 2 1 3 2 0
Celtic9 Aug 90 1 1 2 4 2 0
@ St. Johnstone2 Aug 85 2 2 1 1 2 0
@ Livingston17 May 90 0 1 0 2 1 0
Dundee FC12 May 89 0 1 0 4 0 0
Officials on record
Nick Walsh 14 games Greg Kiltie never booked 4.28cards/game 1.06×vs league
John Beaton 11 games Greg Kiltie booked in 3 4.15cards/game 1.03×vs league
David Dickinson 10 games Greg Kiltie booked in 1 4.52cards/game 1.12×vs league
Steven McLean 8 games Greg Kiltie never booked 3.38cards/game 0.84×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees

Frequently asked

How often does Greg Kiltie have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Greg Kiltie has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Scottish Premiership appearances (4 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Greg Kiltie average?

Across 8 Scottish Premiership appearances in 26/27, Greg Kiltie is averaging 0.90 shots on target and 1.68 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Greg Kiltie get booked?

Greg Kiltie is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Greg Kiltie commit or win more fouls?

This season Greg Kiltie commits 1.03 fouls per 90 and wins 2.84 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Greg Kiltie?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Greg Kiltie plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.