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Scottish Premiership 26/27
LI

Liam Donnelly

Midfielder St. MirrenScottish Premiership 26/27

Next match
St. Mirren at Aberdeen›
Sat 17 Oct
Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Scottish Premiership midfielder, 25/26, 2,179 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.28 per 90
20%
2 of 101.0×
3.40bet365Edge
Total shots0.84 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
1.62bet365Edge
Fouls won1.95 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
Fouls committed1.25 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
Tackles2.93 per 90
70%
7 of 101.2×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.28 per 90
20%
2 of 101.3×
3.00bet365Edge
Goals0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 101.5×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Liam Donnelly has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Liam Donnelly featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Heart of Midlothian10 Oct 45 0 0 2 3 0 0
St. Johnstone8 Aug 39 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Falkirk FC1 Aug 14 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ Aberdeen12 May 90 0 0 2 2 1 0
Kilmarnock9 May 90 0 1 1 3 3 1
@ Celtic11 Apr 90 0 1 1 2 6 1
Aberdeen4 Apr 90 1 3 2 2 3 0
@ Falkirk FC21 Mar 90 1 1 0 0 2 0
Rangers15 Mar 90 0 0 1 1 5 0
@ Livingston28 Feb 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
David Dickinson 12 games Liam Donnelly booked in 4 4.52cards/game 1.12×vs league
John Beaton 6 games Liam Donnelly booked in 1 4.15cards/game 1.03×vs league
Nick Walsh 6 games Liam Donnelly booked in 1 4.28cards/game 1.06×vs league
Scott, Calum 6 games Liam Donnelly never booked 3.45cards/game 0.86×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees

Frequently asked

How often does Liam Donnelly have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Liam Donnelly has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Liam Donnelly average?

Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Liam Donnelly is averaging 0.28 shots on target and 0.84 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Liam Donnelly get booked?

Liam Donnelly is averaging 0.28 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Liam Donnelly commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Liam Donnelly commits 1.25 fouls per 90 and wins 1.95 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Liam Donnelly?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Liam Donnelly plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.