Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Scottish Premiership 24/25
NO

Noah Chilvers

Midfielder Ross CountyScottish Premiership 24/25

Last games
max 30 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Scottish Premiership midfielder, 25/26, 2,179 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.45 per 90
20%
2 of 101.0×
Total shots1.25 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
Fouls won0.79 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Fouls committed1.13 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
Tackles2.72 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.6×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.23 per 90
20%
2 of 101.3×
Goals0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.5×
form only
Assists0.23 per 90
20%
2 of 103.2×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 241 selections across 65 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Noah Chilvers has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Noah Chilvers featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Dundee United30 Mar 61 0 1 1 0 2 0
@ Heart of Midlothian15 Mar 64 0 1 1 0 3 0
Kilmarnock1 Mar 82 0 1 0 1 2 0
@ St. Johnstone26 Feb 65 0 0 1 1 1 0
Dundee FC22 Feb 82 3 4 0 1 1 0
@ Motherwell15 Feb 85 0 1 3 0 1 1
@ Rangers2 Feb 86 0 0 0 0 3 0
Hibernian25 Jan 90 1 2 1 3 2 1
Celtic11 Jan 90 0 1 0 0 5 0
@ Kilmarnock5 Jan 88 0 0 3 1 4 0
Officials on record
David Dickinson 3 games Noah Chilvers booked in 2 4.52cards/game 1.12×vs league
Steven McLean 3 games Noah Chilvers never booked 3.38cards/game 0.84×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Scottish Premiership officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees

Frequently asked

How often does Noah Chilvers have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Noah Chilvers has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Noah Chilvers average?

Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Noah Chilvers is averaging 0.45 shots on target and 1.25 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Noah Chilvers get booked?

Noah Chilvers is averaging 0.23 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Noah Chilvers commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Noah Chilvers commits 1.13 fouls per 90 and wins 0.79 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Noah Chilvers?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Noah Chilvers plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.