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Scottish Premiership 26/27
RU

Ruari Paton

Forward St. JohnstoneScottish Premiership 26/27

Next match
St. Johnstone vs Dundee United›
Sat 17 Oct
Last games
max 19 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Scottish Premiership forward, 25/26, 1,979 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.13 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
1.57bet365Edge
Total shots2.08 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
1.07bet365Edge
Fouls won0.75 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Fouls committed0.75 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles1.32 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.19 per 90
10%
1 of 101.0×
4.00bet365Edge
Goals0.19 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Ruari Paton has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ruari Paton featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Aberdeen11 Oct 58 0 2 0 0 0 0
Falkirk FC19 Sep 25 1 1 0 2 1 1
Celtic9 Sep 27 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ Dundee FC2 Sep 73 0 3 1 0 0 0
@ Heart of Midlothian29 Aug 73 2 2 2 0 2 0
@ St. Mirren8 Aug 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kilmarnock2 Aug 61 1 1 1 1 1 0
Aberdeen17 May 36 1 1 0 1 0 0
@ Rangers14 May 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
St. Mirren10 May 26 0 0 0 0 3 0
Officials on record
Nick Walsh 3 games Ruari Paton never booked 4.28cards/game 1.06×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Scottish Premiership official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Scottish Premiership referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ruari Paton have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Ruari Paton has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ruari Paton average?

Across the last 10 Scottish Premiership games, Ruari Paton is averaging 1.13 shots on target and 2.08 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ruari Paton get booked?

Ruari Paton is averaging 0.19 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ruari Paton commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Ruari Paton commits 0.75 fouls per 90 and wins 0.75 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ruari Paton?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ruari Paton plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.