Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Scottish Premiership 25/26
TO

Tomáš Čvančara

Forward CelticScottish Premiership 25/26

Also in: Bundesliga

Next match
Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian›
Sun 18 Oct
Last games
max 9 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 9 games

Compared with a Scottish Premiership forward, 25/26, 1,979 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.19 per 90
67%
6 of 91.8×
Total shots3.40 per 90
100%Hot
9 of 91.5×
Fouls won2.21 per 90
78%Hot
7 of 91.6×
Fouls committed1.53 per 90
56%
5 of 91.1×
Tackles0.34 per 90
22%
2 of 90.6×
0%
0 of 0
Cards0.34 per 90
22%
2 of 92.1×
Goals0.34 per 90
22%
2 of 91.4×
form only
Assists0.17 per 90
11%
1 of 91.6×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 241 selections across 65 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 9 Scottish Premiership games, Tomáš Čvančara has hit 1+ shot on target in 67% (6 of 9), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 56%, 1+ foul won in 78%, and been booked in 22% (2 of 9). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 9

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Tomáš Čvančara in Scottish Premiership, 25/26 — drawn from 5 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Tomáš ČvančaraCeltic 93.40 1.53
Bojan MiovskiRangers 302.30 1.15
Kelechi IheanachoCeltic 134.02 2.37
Youssef ChermitiRangers 303.56 2.19
Johnny KennyPreston North End 155.09 0.78
Danilo PereiraRangers 143.05 0.32
These 5, combined 3.42 1.53

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 9 games Tomáš Čvančara featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
St. Mirren11 Apr 62 1 1 1 2 1 0
@ Dundee FC5 Apr 58 2 4 1 0 0 0
Motherwell14 Mar 45 1 1 0 1 0 0
@ Aberdeen4 Mar 61 0 1 2 3 0 0
Hibernian22 Feb 60 0 4 0 1 0 0
@ Kilmarnock15 Feb 45 1 1 0 0 0 1
Livingston11 Feb 61 1 3 0 2 0 0
Falkirk FC1 Feb 72 1 3 1 2 0 0
@ Heart of Midlothian25 Jan 66 0 2 4 2 1 1

Frequently asked

How often does Tomáš Čvančara have a shot on target?

Over the last 9 Scottish Premiership games, Tomáš Čvančara has hit 1+ shot on target in 67% (6 of 9). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Tomáš Čvančara average?

Across the last 9 Scottish Premiership games, Tomáš Čvančara is averaging 1.19 shots on target and 3.40 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Tomáš Čvančara get booked?

Tomáš Čvančara is averaging 0.34 cards per 90 over the last 9 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Tomáš Čvančara commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 9 games Tomáš Čvančara commits 1.53 fouls per 90 and wins 2.21 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tomáš Čvančara?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tomáš Čvančara plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.