Serie A · 25/26

AC Milan v Hellas Verona

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

AC Milan3 – 0 Hellas Verona 28 Dec 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Gift Orban	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Daniel Mosquera	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Christopher Nkunku	shots total	1+	92%	2	✓
Christian Pulišić	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Giovane	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Ruben Loftus-Cheek	shots total	1+	86%	2	✓
Alexis Saelemaekers	fouls drawn	1+	84%	2	✓
Antoine Bernede	fouls committed	1+	84%	4	✓
Daniel Mosquera	fouls committed	1+	82%	2	✓
Alexis Saelemaekers	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Ardon Jashari	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Cheikh Niasse	fouls committed	1+	79%	0	✗
Unai Núñez	fouls committed	1+	78%	0	✗
Amin Sarr	fouls committed	1+	78%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	53%	1 cards	✗
Match goals	O2.5	51%	3 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	50%	No	✗

Dig deeper

AC Milan & Hellas Verona player stats→ AC Milan players & stats→ Hellas Verona players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works