Serie A · 25/26

Hellas Verona v AC Milan

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Hellas Verona0 – 1 AC Milan 19 Apr 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Rafael Leão	shots total	1+	98%	0	✗
Gift Orban	shots total	1+	94%	5	✓
Santiago Giménez	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Christian Pulišić	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Ioan Vermesan	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Samuele Ricci	fouls drawn	1+	84%	3	✓
Youssouf Fofana	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Adrien Rabiot	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Antoine Bernede	fouls committed	1+	80%	2	✓
Adrien Rabiot	fouls drawn	1+	79%	2	✓
Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro	fouls committed	1+	79%	4	✓
Alexis Saelemaekers	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Alexis Saelemaekers	fouls drawn	1+	77%	0	✗
Roberto Gagliardini	fouls committed	1+	75%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	48%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	46%	1 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	34%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Hellas Verona & AC Milan player stats→ Hellas Verona players & stats→ AC Milan players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works