Serie A · 25/26
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AS Roma v Cremonese
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
AS Roma3 – 0
Cremonese
22 Feb 2026
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donyell Malen | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 5 | ✓ |
| Lorenzo Venturino | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lorenzo Pellegrini | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Bryan Zaragoza | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Federico Bonazzoli | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Martín Payero | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 0 | ✗ |
| Warren Bondo | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Gianluca Mancini | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Bryan Cristante | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Martín Payero | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Antonio Sanabria | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Youssef Maleh | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 2 | ✓ |
| Alessio Zerbin | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Morten Thorsby | fouls committed | 1+ | 77% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 48% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 47% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 31% | 2 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
AS Roma & Cremonese player stats→
AS Roma players & stats→
Cremonese players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Cremonese 1–3 AS Roma Nov 2025
- Cremonese 2–1 AS Roma Feb 2023
- AS Roma 1–0 Cremonese Aug 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.