Serie A · 25/26

Cremonese v AS Roma

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Cremonese1 – 3 AS Roma 23 Nov 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Stephan El Shaarawy	shots total	1+	98%	0	✗
Matías Soulé	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Lorenzo Pellegrini	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Evan Ferguson	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Franco Vázquez	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Federico Bonazzoli	shots total	1+	89%	3	✓
Bryan Cristante	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Tommaso Baldanzi	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Martín Payero	fouls committed	1+	89%	0	✗
Tommaso Baldanzi	fouls drawn	1+	83%	2	✓
Wesley	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Jamie Vardy	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Neil El Aynaoui	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Warren Bondo	fouls committed	1+	79%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	60%	4 cards	✗
Btts	Yes	47%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	44%	4 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Cremonese & AS Roma player stats→ Cremonese players & stats→ AS Roma players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works