Serie A · 25/26

Bologna v Cremonese

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Bologna1 – 3 Cremonese 1 Dec 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Riccardo Orsolini	shots total	1+	98%	6	✓
Santiago Castro	shots total	1+	94%	4	✓
Nicolò Cambiaghi	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Nicolò Cambiaghi	fouls drawn	1+	92%	3	✓
Jens Odgaard	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Martín Payero	fouls committed	1+	89%	0	✗
Federico Bonazzoli	shots total	1+	86%	0	✗
Benjamín Domínguez	shots total	1+	86%	1	✓
Warren Bondo	fouls committed	1+	82%	3	✓
Tommaso Pobega	shots total	1+	81%	7	✓
Tommaso Barbieri	fouls committed	1+	80%	2	✓
Martín Payero	fouls drawn	1+	80%	2	✓
Nicolò Casale	fouls committed	1+	79%	0	✗
Tommaso Pobega	fouls committed	1+	79%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	43%	4 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	42%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	23%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Bologna & Cremonese player stats→ Bologna players & stats→ Cremonese players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works