Serie A · 25/26

Cremonese v Bologna

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Cremonese1 – 2 Bologna 5 Apr 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Riccardo Orsolini	shots total	1+	100%	0	✗
Santiago Castro	shots total	1+	94%	4	✓
Federico Bernardeschi	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Jonathan Rowe	shots total	1+	93%	3	✓
Milan Đurić	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
David Okereke	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Federico Bonazzoli	shots total	1+	89%	3	✓
Youssef Maleh	fouls committed	1+	86%	4	✓
Martín Payero	fouls committed	1+	85%	0	✗
Federico Bonazzoli	fouls drawn	1+	84%	3	✓
Warren Bondo	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Alessio Zerbin	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Nikola Moro	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Jari Vandeputte	fouls committed	1+	80%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	48%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	43%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	38%	6 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Cremonese & Bologna player stats→ Cremonese players & stats→ Bologna players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works