Bologna v Empoli
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riccardo Orsolini | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 3 | ✓ |
| Thijs Dallinga | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jens Odgaard | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Santiago Castro | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Jesper Karlsson | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 0 | ✗ |
| Sebastiano Esposito | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Giovanni Fabbian | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lorenzo Colombo | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jens Odgaard | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| Liam Henderson | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 3 | ✓ |
| Pietro Pellegri | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ola Solbakken | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Pietro Pellegri | fouls drawn | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Riccardo Orsolini | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 47% | 3 cards | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 46% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 44% | 2 goals | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Empoli 1–1 Bologna Jan 2025
- Empoli 0–1 Bologna Mar 2024
- Bologna 3–0 Empoli Oct 2023
- Empoli 3–1 Bologna May 2023
- Bologna 0–1 Empoli Sep 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.