Serie A · 25/26
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Cremonese v Fiorentina
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Cremonese1 – 4
Fiorentina
16 Mar 2026
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 14 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Piccoli | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 1 | ✓ |
| Rolando Mandragora | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Federico Bonazzoli | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Albert Guðmundsson | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Milan Đurić | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Fabiano Parisi | fouls drawn | 1+ | 85% | 4 | ✓ |
| Youssef Maleh | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 4 | ✓ |
| Tommaso Barbieri | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| Warren Bondo | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 1 | ✓ |
| Alessio Zerbin | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Federico Bonazzoli | fouls drawn | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Roberto Piccoli | fouls drawn | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Marco Brescianini | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| David Okereke | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 4 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 55% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 54% | 5 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 34% | 1 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Cremonese & Fiorentina player stats→
Cremonese players & stats→
Fiorentina players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Fiorentina 1–0 Cremonese Jan 2026
- Cremonese 0–2 Fiorentina Mar 2023
- Fiorentina 3–2 Cremonese Aug 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.