Serie A · 25/26

Fiorentina v Cremonese

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Fiorentina1 – 0 Cremonese 4 Jan 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Roberto Piccoli	shots total	1+	98%	4	✓
Manor Solomon	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Rolando Mandragora	shots total	1+	94%	5	✓
Martín Payero	fouls committed	1+	90%	1	✓
Franco Vázquez	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Federico Bonazzoli	shots total	1+	86%	0	✗
Albert Guðmundsson	shots total	1+	84%	4	✓
Warren Bondo	fouls committed	1+	82%	2	✓
Fabiano Parisi	fouls drawn	1+	82%	2	✓
Tommaso Barbieri	fouls committed	1+	82%	2	✓
Federico Bonazzoli	fouls drawn	1+	80%	3	✓
Nicolò Fagioli	shots total	1+	79%	2	✓
Marin Pongračić	fouls committed	1+	78%	2	✓
Giuseppe Pezzella	fouls committed	1+	78%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	54%	1 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	54%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	45%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Fiorentina & Cremonese player stats→ Fiorentina players & stats→ Cremonese players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works