Serie A · 24/25

Empoli v Lazio

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Empoli0 – 1 Lazio 4 May 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Valentín Castellanos	shots total	1+	100%	3	✓
Gustav Isaksen	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Pedro	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Mattia Zaccagni	fouls drawn	1+	90%	3	✓
Ismael Konate	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Mattia Zaccagni	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Boulaye Dia	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Lorenzo Colombo	shots total	1+	86%	0	✗
Matías Vecino	fouls committed	1+	85%	1	✓
Matías Vecino	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Pedro	fouls drawn	1+	79%	0	✗
Lorenzo Colombo	fouls committed	1+	79%	3	✓
Junior Sambia	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Gustav Isaksen	fouls drawn	1+	78%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	55%	10 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	45%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	40%	1 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Empoli & Lazio player stats→ Empoli players & stats→ Lazio players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works