Serie A · 24/25

Lazio v Empoli

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Lazio2 – 1 Empoli 6 Oct 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Valentín Castellanos	shots total	1+	98%	5	✓
Boulaye Dia	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Sebastiano Esposito	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Mattia Zaccagni	shots total	1+	89%	4	✓
Gustav Isaksen	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Emmanuel Ekong	shots total	1+	89%	0	✗
Nicolò Rovella	fouls committed	1+	88%	0	✗
Mattia Zaccagni	fouls drawn	1+	87%	4	✓
Liam Henderson	fouls committed	1+	84%	1	✓
Ola Solbakken	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Mattéo Guendouzi	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Nuno Tavares	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Giuseppe Pezzella	fouls committed	1+	78%	3	✓
Emmanuel Gyasi	fouls committed	1+	78%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	72%	6 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	46%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	44%	3 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Lazio & Empoli player stats→ Lazio players & stats→ Empoli players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works