Serie A · 24/25

Empoli v Lecce

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Empoli1 – 3 Lecce 11 Jan 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Nikola Krstović	shots total	1+	99%	8	✓
Sebastiano Esposito	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Lorenzo Colombo	shots total	1+	93%	5	✓
Santiago Pierotti	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Tete Morente	shots total	1+	86%	3	✓
Santiago Pierotti	fouls committed	1+	86%	2	✓
Lorenzo Colombo	fouls committed	1+	82%	0	✗
Patrick Dorgu	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Patrick Dorgu	fouls drawn	1+	81%	2	✓
Mohamed Kaba	shots total	1+	79%	0	✗
Þórir Jóhann Helgason	shots total	1+	79%	1	✓
Youssef Maleh	fouls committed	1+	79%	5	✓
Sebastiano Esposito	fouls drawn	1+	78%	3	✓
Giuseppe Pezzella	fouls committed	1+	76%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	44%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	38%	3 cards	✗
Match goals	O2.5	37%	4 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Empoli & Lecce player stats→ Empoli players & stats→ Lecce players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works