Lecce v Empoli
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Krstović | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 8 | ✓ |
| Santiago Pierotti | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Lameck Banda | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nicola Sansone | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Lorenzo Colombo | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Santiago Pierotti | fouls committed | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Rémi Oudin | shots total | 1+ | 84% | 0 | ✗ |
| Liam Henderson | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 7 | ✓ |
| Youssef Maleh | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 3 | ✓ |
| Lameck Banda | fouls drawn | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Pietro Pellegri | fouls drawn | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Pietro Pellegri | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 3 | ✓ |
| Patrick Dorgu | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ola Solbakken | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 43% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 36% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 34% | 3 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Empoli 1–3 Lecce Jan 2025
- Lecce 1–0 Empoli Apr 2024
- Empoli 1–1 Lecce Dec 2023
- Empoli 1–0 Lecce Apr 2023
- Lecce 1–1 Empoli Aug 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.