Empoli v Monza
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Maldini | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 1 | ✓ |
| Samuele Vignato | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Gianluca Caprari | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ola Solbakken | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lorenzo Colombo | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrea Petagna | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Liam Henderson | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
| Dany Mota | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacopo Fazzini | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Youssef Maleh | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Georgios Kyriakopoulos | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Roberto Gagliardini | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lorenzo Colombo | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jacopo Fazzini | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Btts | Yes | 49% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 43% | 0 goals | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 42% | 2 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Monza 1–3 Empoli May 2025
- Empoli 3–0 Monza Jan 2024
- Monza 2–0 Empoli Aug 2023
- Monza 2–1 Empoli Mar 2023
- Empoli 1–0 Monza Oct 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.