Serie A · 24/25

Monza v Empoli

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Monza1 – 3 Empoli 18 May 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Keita Baldé	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Gianluca Caprari	shots total	1+	93%	2	✓
Liam Henderson	fouls committed	1+	91%	4	✓
Dany Mota	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Sebastiano Esposito	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Lorenzo Colombo	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Tino Anjorin	shots total	1+	84%	0	✗
Lorenzo Colombo	fouls committed	1+	84%	1	✓
Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Emmanuel Gyasi	fouls committed	1+	82%	3	✓
Keita Baldé	fouls drawn	1+	82%	1	✓
Sebastiano Esposito	fouls committed	1+	82%	1	✓
Gianluca Caprari	fouls drawn	1+	81%	1	✓
Kevin Zeroli	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	42%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	34%	4 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	30%	1 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Monza & Empoli player stats→ Monza players & stats→ Empoli players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works