Serie A · 24/25

Empoli v SSC Napoli

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Empoli0 – 1 SSC Napoli 20 Oct 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	shots total	1+	100%	1	✓
Giovanni Simeone	shots total	1+	98%	1	✓
Romelu Lukaku	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Matteo Politano	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Scott McTominay	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Giuseppe Pezzella	fouls committed	1+	81%	2	✓
Lorenzo Colombo	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	fouls drawn	1+	81%	0	✗
Sebastiano Esposito	shots total	1+	81%	4	✓
Emmanuel Gyasi	fouls committed	1+	80%	0	✗
Frank Anguissa	fouls committed	1+	77%	1	✓
Jacopo Fazzini	fouls committed	1+	77%	1	✓
Giovanni Simeone	fouls drawn	1+	76%	2	✓
Giovanni Simeone	fouls committed	1+	74%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	45%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	44%	1 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	36%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Empoli & SSC Napoli player stats→ Empoli players & stats→ SSC Napoli players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works