Serie A · 24/25

SSC Napoli v Empoli

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

SSC Napoli3 – 0 Empoli 14 Apr 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Scott McTominay	shots total	1+	94%	5	✓
Liam Henderson	fouls committed	1+	90%	1	✓
Matteo Politano	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
David Neres	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Romelu Lukaku	shots total	1+	89%	6	✓
Jacopo Fazzini	fouls committed	1+	81%	0	✗
Sebastiano Esposito	shots total	1+	81%	3	✓
Lorenzo Colombo	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Lorenzo Colombo	fouls committed	1+	78%	0	✗
Sebastiano Esposito	fouls committed	1+	76%	4	✓
Scott McTominay	fouls drawn	1+	75%	3	✓
Sebastiano Esposito	fouls drawn	1+	73%	1	✓
Romelu Lukaku	fouls committed	1+	73%	2	✓
Jacopo Fazzini	fouls drawn	1+	71%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	42%	3 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	38%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	19%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

SSC Napoli & Empoli player stats→ SSC Napoli players & stats→ Empoli players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works