Genoa v Hellas Verona
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Mosquera | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Vitinha | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Gift Orban | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Lorenzo Colombo | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Caleb Ekuban | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Giovane | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ruslan Malinovskyi | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Daniel Mosquera | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Lorenzo Colombo | fouls drawn | 1+ | 85% | 0 | ✗ |
| Caleb Ekuban | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 3 | ✓ |
| Antoine Bernede | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Vitinha | fouls drawn | 1+ | 82% | 4 | ✓ |
| Amin Sarr | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Amin Sarr | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 53% | 4 cards | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 43% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 36% | 3 goals | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Hellas Verona 0–2 Genoa Mar 2026
- Hellas Verona 0–0 Genoa Apr 2025
- Genoa 0–2 Hellas Verona Sep 2024
- Hellas Verona 1–2 Genoa Apr 2024
- Genoa 1–0 Hellas Verona Nov 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.