Hellas Verona v AS Roma
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donyell Malen | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 3 | ✓ |
| Paulo Dybala | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 5 | ✓ |
| Matías Soulé | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Kieron Bowie | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 4 | ✓ |
| Paulo Dybala | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 5 | ✓ |
| Kieron Bowie | fouls committed | 1+ | 84% | 2 | ✓ |
| Abdou Harroui | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tomáš Suslov | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Amin Sarr | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tomáš Suslov | fouls drawn | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Nicolás Valentini | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 4 | ✓ |
| Amin Sarr | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tomáš Suslov | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 47% | 4 cards | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 41% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 36% | 2 goals | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- AS Roma 2–0 Hellas Verona Sep 2025
- AS Roma 1–0 Hellas Verona Apr 2025
- Hellas Verona 3–2 AS Roma Nov 2024
- AS Roma 2–1 Hellas Verona Jan 2024
- Hellas Verona 2–1 AS Roma Aug 2023
- AS Roma 1–0 Hellas Verona Feb 2023
- Hellas Verona 1–3 AS Roma Oct 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.