Serie A · 24/25

Hellas Verona v Monza

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Hellas Verona0 – 3 Monza 21 Oct 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Daniel Mosquera	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Amin Sarr	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Dailon Rocha Livramento	shots total	1+	93%	0	✗
Casper Tengstedt	shots total	1+	92%	2	✓
Suat Serdar	fouls committed	1+	82%	0	✗
Grigoris Kastanos	fouls drawn	1+	81%	1	✓
Tomáš Suslov	fouls committed	1+	81%	1	✓
Darko Lazović	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Gianluca Caprari	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Grigoris Kastanos	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Tomáš Suslov	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
Milan Đurić	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Ondrej Duda	fouls committed	1+	79%	1	✓
Dany Mota	shots total	1+	79%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	44%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	43%	5 cards	✓
Match goals	O2.5	38%	3 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Hellas Verona & Monza player stats→ Hellas Verona players & stats→ Monza players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works